California/Nevada 2021-2022 Tahoe Ski Resorts/Conditions/Meetups

SSSdave

life is short precious ...don't waste it
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Tahoe doesn't read like storm round 2 will amount to much though areas south of US50 may make up for round 1 since they received less snow than North Tahoe. Big gain will be the extra cold lower elevation temps are key to further chilling ground temps for whatever real accumulations we see. Also, time of year given NW flows when Heavenly could see surprise lake effect snow. Below is interesting enough that next week will slowly pull my winter gear and clothing out of storage trading in the summer backpacking stuff. Car too needs some prep like new tires.

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Reno NV
231 AM PDT Sun Oct 10 2021

...There may be a bit of enhancement in the Sierra south of
Tahoe late Monday morning due to upslope flow and frontal forcing.
These locations could pick up several inches of snow, but
probabilities are less than 10% for reaching 6" or greater...
Elsewhere, a dusting up to possibly 1" (for foothill locations) is
most likely...

Looking ahead to next week (starting October 18), the weather
pattern could become more active again. Some model simulations
bring precip to the Sierra as soon as Monday the 18th, while
others hold off until around the 20th. Still others indicate a
blocking ridge near the Great Basin which would divert the storm
track well to the north and west of the Sierra. There are
indications of an atmospheric river setting up next week, although
the best feed of IVT (moisture) currently favors areas north of 42

degrees latitude--too far north for bringing significant precip
to the Sierra or western NV.
 

Tricia

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SSSdave

life is short precious ...don't waste it
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Looking at resort cams, radar, satellite, and forecasts as this systems dives into the Great Basin where it may circulate longer than earlier forecast, Mammoth could receive enough minimum base to open early beating any Tahoe resorts. Utah also getting a stronger dose.

 

SSSdave

life is short precious ...don't waste it
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Not only is Mammoth showing 6 to 8 inches, but this morning, all their snow guns are adding more with groomers flattening out possible early run lines that shows they may be reconsidering their stated mid November opening. Long range forecasts are hinting at a potential for a more serious Sierra cold storm that could make that happen and higher Tahoe resorts are no doubt looking ahead too.
 

textrovert

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